Leapfrogging and technology diffusion

The focus of the World Bank’s “Global Economic Prospects” this year is “Technology diffusion in the developing world”. Not surprisingly, this has generated a lot of discussion about the “leapfrogging” concept, i.e. accelerating development through the adoption of cheap new technologies, as evidenced by recent articles in the Economist (and here) and on various blogs. Judging from these commentaries, the new report has cast a shadow of doubt on the whole leapfrogging approach to development. Although mobile phones remain the posterchild of leapfrogging development, they seem to be something of an anomaly. Other information and communication technologies (ICTs), especially computers, have not had as much of an impact (or maybe just not as noticeable an impact). This is largely blamed on the lack of communications and power infrastructure in developing regions which limits the useability of computers. I would suggest that many of these criticisms reflect an unfounded technological determinism and are based on a very limited view of the relationship between ICTs and society in that they overemphasize the “leapfrogging” and technology aspect and ignore the “leapfrogging” and development aspect.
Many efforts to introduce and diffuse ICTs, computers in particular, in developing countries assume that ICTs have become well-defined tools with well-defined roles and “appropriate” interfaces suited to those roles, and therefore, a “tried and true” “westernized” ideal of these technologies are promoted. In fact, there is little evidence to support such assumptions. In the past few decades computer interfaces have changed dramatically and existing metaphors (esp. the desktop metaphor) become increasingly unsuitable as computers have taken on roles that may have been somewhat unexpected by mainstream users ca. 10-15 years ago, ex. social networking, vehicles for personal commentary, media centers, etc. It would seem more reasonable to say that computers have served as a flexible platform that each generation of users has been able to shape to meet its own needs and expectations. What’s more, these types of changes, or expansions, of the roles of computers have become increasingly rapid as their use has become more widespread. So, why the tendency to expect new users in developing regions to embrace technology presented in a manner so far removed from the experience of others? I think it may be, at least in part, due to a tendency to focus on anticipated general results of widespread diffusion of computers rather than focusing on the way things are done with computers and what is done with them.
From an educational point of view there are a few notable trends that can be identified where computers have achieved considerable diffusion (this is not to be taken as a claim that computers in education have been a raging success). Over the last four decades, the most notable impact that computers have had in a very general sense is obviously that the flow of information has increased, is more diverse, and has become more rapid. Over the same period, changes in thinking about education have corresponded with the impact that computers have had such that there is now a greater trend toward individual-based learning, constructivism and lifelong learning. This makes perfect sense when we consider the ways that use and manipulation of information flows has developed. For example, increased information flows have challenged existing notions of “truth” and we now generally accept that even seemingly well grounded scientific “truths” may be more relative to social and cultural norms than was previously assumed. This has become one of the primary justifications for individual-based and constructive learning, i.e. that “truth” is, at least in part, subject to individual conceptualizations and understandings of the elements involved. This in turn has underlined the importance of lifelong learning, which has evolved into a concept that not only encourages continuous learning, but also acknowledges that learning is an inherent aspect of human life, i.e. we are always learning and what, where and how we learn affects the way we internalise information that we receive in formal and non-formal interactions (I take this to be the gist of the Delors’ report’s definition of learning as “lifelong, life-wide and life-deep”).
ICTs didn’t change education overnight. We can identify trends, as I’ve done above, and in hindsight it may seem to us that the impact of ICTs was rapid and dramatic. But, I think that this is mostly because they have been very effectively rationalised, i.e. they have subtly changed whole conceptual frameworks, which in turn bounces back to effect ICTs. So, to get back to leapfrogging, do we introduce ICTs to promote novel forms of social interaction that may accelerate development or do we highlight the aspects of social interaction that may accelerate development and introduce ICTs to facilitate these? The ICT for development agenda is commonly referred to as ICT4D, but I’m going to make a distinction here and refer to the former path described above as ICT2D, i.e. ICT to develop – the assumption being that ICTs will spur on development, and the latter path I will refer to as ICT&D, i.e. ICT and development – ICTs can augment other development initiatives.
The question I raise above is not one that I am prepared to answer. But, I think that ICT2D carries a risk of introducing ICTs that are not relevant to the existing social fabric in the community involved because, at any point in time, technologies tend to reflect the societal values from which they emerge, and current ICTs have primarily emerged from western societies (obvious examples that come to mind are initiatives that are based on the “we need Windows” assumption). Therefore, outcomes ranging from total failure to diffuse the technology to cultural homogenization would hardly be surprising. However, ICT&D would launch ICTs in an environment where there may already be a perceived need for the types and levels of communication and information exchange that ICTs can provide, making for a more “organic” integration of the technologies into existing societal structures (examples would include initiatives in countries where they already have well educated computer scientists, like in Estonia and India). ICT&D is no less a potential “leapfrogging” path than ICT2D even though the diffusion of the technology itself may be somewhat delayed because it seeks to accelerate development in the same way as the former. The problem is that ICT2D is undeniably the easier to implement quickly and progress can be easily measured by simply counting cell phones and computers, measuring fiber optic cables, etc. (whatever that’s supposed to tell us about levels of development…). I think it is this “easier” path that is usually envisioned in regards to leapfrogging development. In light of recent experiences we might want to take a better look at the other path.

Posted in ICTs, Leapfrogging development | Leave a comment

References for Millennium Declaration Analysis Series

I have received several requests to post references referred to in my so-called “Millennium Declaration Analysis Series” which I link to in the left margin of the main page of this blog. These lengthy articles are drafts that I produced for my MA thesis in Comparative Education. In most cases I did not include full references nor did I even include citations everywhere that they should be. These should not be taken as complete scholarly works but more as a snapshot of my thinking as I worked my way through my research and thesis process. Nevertheless, these are the most popular content on this blog. Therefore, I have decided to post here the complete list of references from my completed thesis. This should include almost all, if not all, references referred to in the draft chapters posted on this blog.

Continue reading

Posted in Education, ICTs, Information Society, Knowledge development, Leapfrogging development | 1 Comment

Recommendations from whom?

Last summer, Craig R. Barrett, chairman of UN GAID and chairman of the board of Intel Corp., issued a list of “Recommendations from the UN GAID Chairman”. A couple of the recommendations are worthy of a slightly raised eyebrow, and perhaps even a “wink wink nudge nudge” or two.
Barrett addresses education in his first recommendation. Conspicuously missing here is any mention of students. The gist of Barrett’s first recommendation is “Train teachers to integrate technology into the classroom”. This is pretty obvious, but he goes on to repeat the Intel mantra, “Computers aren’t magic, teachers are.” In light of recent spats between Intel and OLPC project (esp. Intel’s teacher focus vs. OLPC’s kids focus), one has to wonder whether this is coming from Barrett the UN GAID chairman or Barrett the Intel chairman. However, there is an abundance of research that gives ample reason to question the effectiveness of entrusting classroom teachers with the spread of ICTs. Numerous studies have shown that even after receiving special training many teachers are hesitant to fully integrate ICTs into their classroom activities. They are far less likely to attempt to do something innovative with ICTs, choosing rather to use familiar off the shelf products, the most common being word processors. Meanwhile, ICTs have been shown to be truly transformative in very unpredictable ways when put into the hands of users, even when those users have little previous experience with them. Put simply, there is plenty of evidence to support a claim that computers may be more magical than teachers.
Barrett’s other point that raised my attention is his fourth recommendation, “Competitive telecommunications markets are necessary to allow for affordable Internet access.” This makes sense up to a certain point. Competition certainly has brought the cost down, but only if there is a market to work with. Telecommunications markets have not seemed eager to seek out new markets where the most costly parts of the infrastructure are missing. East Africa remains the most poorly connected part of the world and it doesn’t seem like the telecommunications market is exactly knocking at their doors with an adequate submarine cable in hand. We even have a rather dismal situation here in Iceland. Infrastructure within Iceland is very good (except for several rural areas) but the country is connected internationally by only two submarine cables, only one of which is for commercial use. Internet access outside of Iceland is metered (except for the most expensive services and even then there are limits) and quite expensive (not to mention the all too common outages that occur when something happens to that one cable). This will gradually get better, but still, it’s a few years off. If Iceland’s progress in this area is any indication of what can be expected for East Africa, there may be quite a wait for the telecommunications market to get around to delivering on the “free market” promise.

Posted in Development, Education, ICTs, Internet, Leapfrogging development | 1 Comment

BBC World Service Poll on Globalisation

The BBC has published the results of a poll on attitudes toward, and experiences of, globalisation that they conducted in cooperation with GlobeScan Inc. and The Program on International Policy Attitudes (PIPA). (See the story on the poll on BBC News here)
The results are quite interesting and show very different attitudes and experiences in different countries. Especially interesting is that people in developed countries tend to be more negative than people in developing countries. Negative attitudes in developed countries tended to be related to the unequal distribution of the fruits of globalisation. However, in several developing countries there was a common belief that globalisation would bring about more equality in their countries.
I have been a proponent of the UN Millennium Declaration’s (UNMD) aim of promoting globalisation as a positive force through inclusive dialogue on globalisation. These results make me wonder whether the UNMD and related dialogue on globalisation might be giving rise to false expectations. Not that I think there is anything wrong with this dialogue, rather that this dialogue is not reaching the economic heavyweights behind the spread of globalisation, i.e. primarily the corporate forces. The question then is, how do we take the dialogue to these parties that need to be involved? And I think that this is not just a question of how we reach their ears and get their input (because many of these parties are certainly involved in dialogue at some level), but more importantly, how do we ensure that the dialogue is centered around the values (for example…) that will make globalisation a positive force and that participants in the dialogue recognise these values?

Posted in Development, Knowledge development | Leave a comment

The OLPC is child’s play

The BBC News website has a great story about a child’s first experience with the OLPC laptop.
Reminds me of my family’s first home computer when I was at the tender age of 11-12. That was almost 30 years ago so obviously we weren’t discovering the Internet, but I was very quick to pick up on programming with no instruction at all. Kids just figure these things out and often even things that no one had anticipated. Does this surprise anyone?

Posted in ICTs | 1 Comment

Internet Bill of Rights – it’s still not making sense

At the Internet Governance Forum held Brazil, the issue of an “Internet Bill of Rights” has once again been brought up, as it was at last year’s forum. I said then that I thought it was a waste of time and my view has not changed. It’s a misinformed proposal based on a misconception of what the Internet is. Robin Gross of IPJustice, one of the primary initiators of the proposal, underlines this in a statement quoted on the BBC News web, where she claims that “rights issues on the net were ‘transnational’.”
Interesting… except that they are not transnational. At best, we could say that there is a net-layer that aspires to transcend nationality – but that is not the reality. Territoriality is very much alive and nations do impose their conceptions of “rights” within their domains. The issue of rights is therefore not an Internet issue, it is a general issue that should be, and is, addressed at a territorial level.

Posted in Information Society | Leave a comment